The midterm elections are less than a year away. Here’s an early overview of what to expect in 2022.

The midterm elections are less than a year away.  Here’s an early overview of what to expect in 2022.

For those who enjoyed a respite from political advertising for a while, you get used to ramping it up again after the holiday season, if not sooner.

Election Day, held for many earlier this month, didn’t get much fanfare as it wasn’t a year in which a president or members of Congress were elected, but it marked the beginning of what will be another important election in 2022.

Can the Democrats retain control of the Senate and House of Representatives? What will the mood of voters be in the middle of President Joe Biden’s term?

With the midterm elections less than a year away, here’s an overview of the scene and the major races.

What is the margin of error for Democrats?

It is a blade thin in both the Senate and the House of Representatives. In the Senate, Republicans have 50 seats to Democrats’ 48, but independents vote alongside Democrats, giving Democrats a majority since Vice President Kamala Harris represents any tie-breaking vote. In the House of Representatives, Democrats have 222 seats versus 213 for Republicans, which means there is currently a five-seat difference to the majority.

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What seats can be grabbed in 2022?

All 435 of the House of Representatives seats are electable, so, as mentioned earlier, Republicans can gain a majority by having only five seats. In the 2020 presidential election, Republicans trimmed the Democratic majority in the House of Representatives from 232-197 to 222-213. In the Senate, there are 34 seats in the game, of which 20 are held by Republicans and 14 by Democrats. Republicans won 53 seats ahead of the 2020 election.

Did the elections have any effect on what would happen next year?

According to political analysts, what happened earlier this month reflected the mood of voters that could be worrying for Biden and Democrats.

In Virginia, Republican candidate Glenn Youngkin scored a surprisingly comfortable victory over Democratic candidate Terry McAuliffe.

Biden won Virginia by 10 points in the 2020 election.

In New Jersey, Democrat Phil Murphy was able to win re-election, but the race was much closer to Republican Jack Citarelli than expected.

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The coming months will determine whether these races are signs of a larger trend in favor of Republicans nationwide.

What are the major Senate races in 2022?

Since there are only 50 seats in the Senate compared to 435 in the House, let’s focus on the Senate for now. Several genera are still forming, but early on, here are the species to watch closely, as indicated by the states represented in Washington, D.C.

  • Georgia. Reverend Raphael Warnock, a Democrat, won the well-publicized run-off for that seat earlier this year, defeating Kelly Loeffler, who was appointed to the seat by Georgia Governor Brian Kemp in December 2019 after Johnny Isaacson resigned over the condition. health. reasons. Warnock will have a tough fight as his opponent is likely to be former NFL star Herschel Walker, who won the Heisman Cup while playing college football in Georgia and is a legendary figure in the state.

  • Pennsylvania. Republican Senator Pat Toomey decided not to run for re-election, opening that seat in what should be a heated race between new candidates from both the Democratic and Republican sides.

  • North Carolina. Republican Senator Richard Burr is not running for re-election, opening the door to new candidates from both parties.

  • Wisconsin. Republican Senator Ron Johnson is still debating whether or not to run for a third term, but regardless of whether he runs for a third term, Democrats are eyeing this seat as an opportunity for a coup. In mid-August, only 35% of Wisconsin voters said they viewed Johnson favorably in a poll conducted by Marquette University Law School. But as with any incumbent, they can win over voters quickly through certain laws and legislation passed before the election.

  • New Hampshire. Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan faces her first re-election bid after winning the seat in 2016 by a margin of just 0.1%. The Republicans see this as an opportunity to defeat it.

  • Arizona. Democratic Senator Mark Kelly will have to win the seat again two years after defeating Republican Martha McSally in a race that has led to Republican litigation over the results. Kelly will have a hand-to-hand fight against one of five Republicans who have announced their bids for the nomination.

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